Gloria Johnpierre, CFSP, CAM May 21, 2025
The cost of building a home is influenced by a multitude of factors, many of which extend beyond local markets. One significant factor that has garnered attention in recent years is the imposition of global tariffs. These tariffs, often introduced as trade policy tools, can have profound effects on the construction industry, ultimately impacting the affordability and availability of homes.
Tariffs are taxes imposed by a government on imported goods. The primary objectives of tariffs are to protect domestic industries from foreign competition, generate revenue for the government, and sometimes as a tool in trade negotiations.
While these goals may benefit certain sectors, they can inadvertently lead to increased costs in industries that rely heavily on imported materials, such as construction.
The construction industry is particularly vulnerable to the effects of tariffs due to its reliance on a wide array of imported materials. Key materials affected include:
Steel: Essential for structural components, steel is a significant part of construction projects. Tariffs on imported steel can lead to increased prices, affecting the overall cost of building homes.
Lumber: Often imported from countries like Canada, lumber is a staple in residential construction. Tariffs can cause price fluctuations, impacting the affordability of building materials.
Appliances: Many home appliances are imported. Tariffs on these goods can lead to higher prices for consumers, affecting the overall cost of furnishing new homes.
The imposition of tariffs on these materials leads to increased production costs for construction companies. Builders are often forced to spend more on basic construction, which ultimately drives up the price tag on new homes. This scenario can make homeownership less accessible, particularly for first-time buyers.
The effects of tariffs extend beyond the construction phase and permeate the broader housing market:
Increased Home Prices: As construction costs rise due to more expensive materials, new homes become more expensive. This price increase can make it challenging for potential buyers to afford new properties.
Reduced Housing Supply: Higher construction costs can deter builders from initiating new projects, leading to a decrease in the overall housing supply. A limited supply, coupled with steady demand, can drive up prices further.
Impact on Resale Homes: As new homes become more expensive, resale homes may become more attractive to buyers. This can lead to increased demand for existing homes, potentially raising their market value.
Rental Market Dynamics: With the increased cost of purchasing homes, more individuals may turn to renting. This shift can lead to higher demand in the rental market, potentially driving up rental prices.
The impact of tariffs on the housing market can vary significantly across different regions:
States with Lower Export Share: According to the National Association of Realtors, states with lower export shares—defined as exports making up less than 7% of their GDP—are more insulated from tariffs and global supply chain disruptions.
These states typically have diversified, service-based economies centered around finance, tourism, and entertainment, leading to more stable job markets and continuous demand for housing.
Over the past 30 years, these less trade-reliant states have seen home prices rise by an average of 291%, exceeding the 237% increase in more export-reliant states. Consequently, residents of these low trade-reliant regions face fewer economic disruptions, with job creation supporting population growth and housing price appreciation.
States with High Export Share: Conversely, states with economies heavily reliant on exports may experience more pronounced effects from tariffs. These states might face economic slowdowns, affecting employment and, subsequently, the housing market.
While the effects of tariffs can be challenging, there are strategies that buyers, sellers, and builders can employ to mitigate their impact:
Diversifying Supply Sources: Builders can seek alternative suppliers from countries not affected by tariffs to reduce material costs.
Investing in Energy-Efficient Homes: Constructing homes with energy-efficient features can reduce long-term costs for homeowners, making properties more attractive despite higher initial prices.
Government Incentives: Staying informed about government programs that offer incentives for building or purchasing homes can help offset increased costs.
Market Research: Buyers and sellers should conduct thorough market research to understand current trends and make informed decisions.
The imposition of global tariffs has introduced new dynamics into the housing market, affecting construction costs, home prices, and overall market trends. At Siven Premier Real Estate, we are dedicated to providing our clients with the knowledge and resources needed to navigate these changes successfully.
If you're considering buying, selling, or investing in real estate, don't navigate these challenges alone. Contact Siven Premier Real Estate today to learn how we can assist you in achieving your real estate goals.
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